Oregon vs. Washington State Odds & Picks: Saturday’s Over/Under Offers Ample Betting Value
Jonathan Ferrey/Getty Images. Pictured: Oregon Ducks quarterback Tyler Shough.
- After a strong debut performance last week, head coach Joe Moorhead and the Oregon Ducks strive to build on their established offensive momentum against Washington State in Week 11.
- The Cougars defense struggled in its season opener and could be in for a long day against Oregon’s dynamic offense and promising young quarterback Tyler Shough.
- Below, find Darin Gardner’s full betting analysis on Oregon vs. Washington State, including updated odds and Gardner’s pick for Saturday’s game.
Oregon vs. Washington State Odds
|Oregon Odds||-10.5 [BET NOW]|
|Washington State Odds||+10.5 [BET NOW]|
|Moneyline||-400 / +310 [BET NOW]|
|Over/Under||57.5 [BET NOW]|
|Time||7 p.m. ET|
|Odds updated Saturday evening and via BetMGM. Get an INSTANT $500 deposit match at BetMGM today.|
Oregon and Washington State head into this matchup undefeated after picking up wins in the first week of the Pac-12 season.
Washington State’s offense does not seem to be suffering after head coach Mike Leach’s departure, as the Cougars racked up 38 points in a 10-point victory against Oregon State.
After winning the Pac-12 a season ago, Oregon is coming off a 21-point triumph against Stanford. The Ducks are heavy favorites to win the conference’s North division.
Before the Ducks’ 37-35 victory over the Cougars last season, Washington State had actually won four consecutive games in this series. Will head coach Nick Rolovich’s new offense keep rolling for the Cougars or will the Ducks be able to slow it down?
The big questions surrounding the Ducks heading into the season were obvious. How would the Oregon offense look after quarterback Justin Herbert left for the NFL and what would ex-Mississippi State head coach Joe Moorhead bring to the program after taking over at offensive coordinator?
Although the Ducks have played just one game, it seems that Moorhead has provided a significant upgrade as an offensive play caller.
Last season, the Oregon offense performed well, but left a lot to be desired. We have seen Herbert exceed all expectations so far in his rookie NFL season, which makes you wonder why Oregon’s offense wasn’t one of the nation’s best last season.
From what we have seen in 2020, the offensive play-calling could have been holding it back. With Herbert under center, the 2019 offense ranked 65th in pass rate and 84th in plays per game.
I came away very impressed with Moorhead’s first game with the Ducks. Oregon has only played one game, so we can’t overreact too much to that small sample size, but the team ranks highly in many key metrics. The Ducks are currently fifth in Expected Points Added (EPA) per play and second in Success Rate. Oregon also averaged 7.5 yards per play against Stanford.
In his first game as a starter, quarterback Tyler Shough performed about as well as any coach could have hoped given his lack of experience and the limited off-season. Shough averaged 8.7 yards per pass attempt, plus he carried the ball 11 times for 85 yards.
Slough ranks sixth in EPA per play among quarterbacks, again with the small sample-size caveat.
Oregon’s 2019 defense was one of the best in the country, no matter how you looked at it. Several starters return, but the Ducks did lose starting outside cornerback Thomas Graham and projected first-round pick Jevon Holland, who played in the slot.
After its performance against a backup Stanford quarterback in place of Davis Mills, it appears those losses could have been significant.
Right before the game kicked off, Stanford announced that its starting quarterback and top receiver were out due to COVID-19 contact tracing. However, Stanford still moved the ball against a defense that was supposed to be one of the best in the country. The Cardinal averaged 7.2 yards per play, and quarterback Jack West averaged 8.1 yards per attempt.
Stanford also crossed the Oregon 40-yard line 10 times, so there were plenty of scoring opportunities. However, Stanford’s kicker missed four field goals, which made its offensive performance look a lot worse than it actually was. After one game, Oregon’s defense currently ranks 95th in EPA per play.
Check out Darin Gardner's college football betting guide with odds, picks and predictions for the Pac-12 game between Oregon and Washington State.
Oregon vs Washington State picks and predictions November 14
You ever randomly fall in love with a team while college football betting, and you can’t explain why? Last season, it was Wyoming for me. I couldn’t get enough of those mustard yellow and doo-doo brown uniforms, and Cowboys covered at ton! (Note: Definitely trust a guy who writes about sports betting because he’s a four-year-old who likes team colors.)
This year, I’m on Oregon. I don’t particularly enjoy the folks at Nike turning the vomit from a three-night bender in Beaverton into a uniform design, but I’m still a fan of Mario Cristobal’s bunch.
Here are our best college football free picks and predictions for No. 11 Oregon at Washington State, with kickoff scheduled for Saturday, November 14 at 7:00 p.m. ET in Pullman, Washington.
Oregon Ducks at Washington State Cougars Betting Preview
It’s going to be a chilly evening in Pullman on Saturday night. Expect a temperature of 31 degrees with a south-southeast wind at 10 mph and a 25 percent chance of rain. Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.
Oregon: Cam McCormick TE (ques), Spencer Webb TE (ques), Chris Randazzo OL (out), Brady Breeze S (out), Jevon Holland S (out), Thomas Graham Jr. CB (out), Deommodore Lenior CB (out), Penei Sewell OL (out)
Washington State: Nicolas Sheetz DL (ques), Will Heckman DB (ques), Marquise Freeman DE (ques), Phillip Powell DB (ques), Cole Dubots RB (ques), Justin Anderson DB (ques), Brandon Dray WR (ques), Patrick Nunn DB (out)
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.
Betting Trend to Know
The Ducks are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games. Find more NCAA betting trends for Oregon vs. Washington State.
Against the Spread (ATS) Pick
It took a little longer than expected, but the Ducks eventually pulled away and covered the spread last Saturday night against Stanford in their season opener, winning 35-14. The Ducks churned out 496 yards of offense thanks to CJ Verdell racking up 105 yards on the ground. Tyler Shough replaced Justin Herbert at quarterback and got more comfortable as the game continued, throwing for 227 yards, one touchdown and one interception.
The Nick Rolovich era got off to a successful start at Washington State, with the head coach taking over after spending four years in the same position at Hawaii. The Cougars led Oregon State 28-7 before fending off a late Beavers rally and winning 38-38. Washington State displayed a balanced attack, and it was Deon McIntosh leading the charge with 18 carries for 147 yards and a score.
The Cougars have been reliable against the number when it comes to playing the Ducks, but those games also saw mad scientist Mike Leach calling the shots for Washington State. The Cougars did a nice job of keeping Oregon State off balance last Saturday, but I remain bullish on an elite-level Ducks defense.
PREDICTION: Oregon -8.5 (-110)
The Cougars will be more of a threat than the Cardinal were last Saturday—which isn’t saying much—though I do like their ability to generate offense on the ground and in the air. The Over is 5-0 in Oregon’s last five games, and I expect enough points to push this game past the Total before the Ducks tighten up and cover.
PREDICTION: Over 56.5 (-110)
- Week 11 odds moves and sharp money
- Triple Option: Week 11 NCAA Picks
- USC vs. Arizona picks
- Notre Dame vs. Boston College picks
- Arkansas vs. Florida picks
- This week’s CFB matchup info and more
Team Total Prop Pick
Cristobal has done a fantastic job of stockpiling talent in Eugene, and while the Ducks are understandably not as dangerous as they were with Herbert under center, Shough will grow into his role as the new starting quarterback. He’s not a star yet, but he’s still got a ton of weapons at his disposal. Now, if the Ducks could also add little doo-doo brown to their color scheme, I might be a fan for life.
PREDICTION: Oregon team total Over 34.5 (-150)
Oregon vs Washington State Betting Card
- Oregon -8.5 (-110)
- Over 56.5 (-110)
- Oregon team total Over 34.5 (-150)
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College football picks and predictions for Oregon Ducks at Washington State Cougars. NCAA betting free picks against the spread and Over/Under.